王垣鑫:美联储利率决议维稳,金价多头雄风难振
昨天亚欧盘金价保持震荡回落走势,价格在下方1833附近找到支撑后拉起,晚间金价出现大幅拉高一度回到1860一线上方。但因风险情绪改善美元指数小幅下滑,加上公布的数据显示美国上周初请失业金人数下降,且GDP数据符合市场预期,令现货黄金承压回吐21美元涨幅。此外美债收益率走高也对金价产生压力,叠加美股大涨的影响,令黄金作为避险资产的吸引力遭到削弱。
美联储明确宽松立场
美联储宣布维持指标隔夜利率目标区间在0-0.25%,并将继续每月购买800亿美元公债和400亿美元机构支持证券,美联储再次承诺将保持这些支持经济的举措,直到经济从大流行引发的衰退中全面反弹。声明中对经济复苏可能放缓的关注,进一步强化了美联储承诺在未来几个月,甚至几年内保持宽松货币政策立场的重要性,同时美联储主席鲍威尔在声明发布后的新闻发布会上强调,在经济明显显示出持续改善之前,美联储不计划调整货币政策。
金价回归关键区间争夺
从月线上看金价在触及2075高位后步入行情拐点,后市价格持续高位回落,目前MACD指标已经到达死叉变盘的边缘。若是在今天这个月线收盘的交易日时间内,金价不能出现有效反弹站稳1850位置的话,价格将进一步承压于月线MA5压力均线下方,后市大级别恐有进一步回落的风险。日内由于金价刚经历大幅起落的过程目前仍处于调整的过程当中,MACD和KDJ指标也没有给出太有参考价值的信号。近期上方1850一线位置争夺情况剧烈,下方1830一线给予金价可靠支撑效果,在后市趋势方向明朗前,可以继续关注1830-1850区间的震荡情况。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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