美股大跌，美債收益率創新低
關鍵字：美債收益率創新低
1月4日，現貨黃金出現大面積飆升，創下近兩個月一來的新高，同時美元的疲軟和美國十年期國債實際收益率創下歷史新低，為金價提供了支撐，加上美股大跌也提振了黃金的避險需求。
分析師表示，利率低迷和美元疲軟將推動金價進一步走高。儘管疫苗令市場情緒變得更積極，但今年金價預計仍能走高，受到通脹預期和負實際利率的提振。
週一美股三大指數走低，盤中跌幅一度均超2%。投資者當前預期在疫苗加速分發、央行提供進一步支持以及政府持續提供援助的情況下，2021年將能看到需求反彈現象。這推升了通脹預期，從而導致實際收益率（名義收益率與通脹之差）下降，同時也提振了黃金的吸引力。
週一美國十年期國債實際收益率跌至紀錄低點的-1.124%。瑞銀集團分析師Giovanni Staunovo表示，投資者正在尋找能從通脹上升中獲益的資產，通貨再膨脹因素目前也在支撐金價。
投資者關注週二佐治亞州的參議院席位決選，這次選舉將決定哪個政黨掌控美國參議院。分析師表示，有可能出臺重大刺激措施，這將導致美元進一步下跌。本周的參議院選舉可能會成為一個重大的顛覆性事件，金價因此上漲。
2020年金價的高位是能被突破的。如果通脹再次升溫，那麼在各國央行再次開始緊縮之前，黃金突破2500至3000美元/盎司區域是可能的。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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