避险情绪高涨，黄金出现飙升
关键词：避险情绪高涨
8月17日，现货黄金出现巨大涨幅，由于美元指数走弱，美债收益率有所回落，推动市场购买黄金，加上巴菲特的伯克希尔哈撒韦购买了贵金属公司的股份，提振市场对黄金的乐观预期。
分析师表示，纽约联储公布的制造业活动大幅下滑，显示制造业领域的经济活动减少，而巴菲特的伯克希尔哈撒韦正在买入黄金类股。市场预期美联储将为黄金提供非常有力的支撑，本周美联储会议纪要出炉前，预计金价将突破2000美元/盎司，年底前将突破2250美元/盎司。
美元指数跌至逾一周低位，指标10年期美债收益率回落，纽约联储制造业指数骤降至3.7，这些因素也支撑了金价。分析称，今日金价飙升，一方面由于美元指数日内走低，逼近年初至今的低位，另一方面，大宗商品持续上涨。现货黄金突破关键的短期技术阻力位，刷新近一周高位，较日内低点反弹50美元，迈向1990美元/盎司。黄金已经收复上周暴跌的一半以上的跌幅。美盘时段，由于美元走软，黄金加速反弹。只要黄金维持在1965美元/盎司上方，看涨基调就可能维持不变；突破1990关口，则下一强劲阻力位可能在2015美元/盎司。
金银本周的开局非常积极，分别涨2%和4%。目前金银比低于73，表明白银正在追赶黄金，白银目前只是被略微低估了。推动白银走强的因素之一是近几日白银ETF的强劲资金流入，ETF投资者显然将白银此前的大幅下跌视为买入良机。与此同时，黄金ETF的需求也在减少，上周五黄金ETF连续第6天出现资金流出，上一次出现这种情况还是在3月中旬。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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