黄金场外交易量创新高，金价势头强劲
关键词：金价势头强劲
据世界黄金协会计算，黄金场外交易量创新新高，而黄金ETF市场也呈现出比较繁荣的镜像，日均交易量达到10亿美元，总体来说，全球的黄金投资市场日均交易量在1000亿美元至2000亿美元之间。
黄金在收益率、波动和与其他资产相关性方面的优异表现凸显了这一差异。综上所述，与仅仅包括单一的、涵盖广泛类别的大宗商品配置的投资组合相比，黄金的这些特征能更有效地分散风险；在不降低长期预期收益率的前提下，配置或补充配置黄金头寸可以降低风险。具体而言，2%至10%的黄金战略配置可以显著改善和保护投资组合的表现，同时提供大宗商品投资的敞口。
分析师示，在9月上半个月黄金市场出现的抛售压力后，目前金价开始逐渐稳定下来；尽管在此前触及高位后，黄金市场出现了较为明显的下跌，并且在本周美联储利率决议之后跌至1483美元/盎司的低位，但仍然稳定在50日移动均线上方。
在美联储此次降息25个基点后，中期黄金市场或因此受益，获得支撑。从美国10年期债券收益率指数来看，如果其回到50日均线下方，那么黄金会受到进一步的提振；当然，黄金的表现还要看美元。美元指数目前远高于50日均线，不过Droke认为，四季度美元将走弱，对黄金来说，这会是个好消息。
分析师认为，黄金的上涨趋势仍在，他预计金价长期将走高；在美联储采取比预期更为强硬的立场后，金价继续显示出强劲的势头.
美联储的经济预测显示，到2020年不会再降息，到2022年不会加息。美联储主席鲍威尔几乎没有透露利率未来走势的细节，他指出，美联储将根据经济的变化调整货币政策；黄金市场的反应表明，黄金并不需要美联储采取鸽派立场才能走高。贸易纠纷、英国脱欧的不确定性以及目前中东紧张局势升级等问题将继续长期支撑金价，无论美联储采取何种行动，地缘政治风险都将使金价继续上涨。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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