金價持續上漲，多頭佔據主導
關鍵字：多投資佔據主導
8月6日，現貨黃金走出近六年以來的最高水準，在全球貿易風險和市場對全球經濟增長的擔憂之下，市場避險情緒升溫，黃金成為避險資產的首選，大批資金湧入金市。
分析師預計，10年期美債的利率將降至1.5%。由於美聯儲準備放鬆貨幣政策，我們可能會在一段時間內處於一個明顯較低利率的環境中。自上周美聯儲降息25個基點以來，投資者大量買入聯邦基金期貨合約，這意味著市場預計9月美聯儲將再次下調利率。
分析師表示，在經濟增長方面存在很大的不確定性，特別是貿易摩擦，鑒於美國和全球股市波動加劇，黃金因此得到支撐。
分析師在一份報告中寫道，許多市場觀察人士現在認為，貿易問題升級將促使美聯儲很快再次降息。
黃金期貨價格今年上漲了16%，因貿易摩擦對全球經濟前景構成壓力，帶來了央行加大政策寬鬆的潛在需求。貿易問題的最新進展令市場在本周初受到衝擊，股市暴跌，10年期美國國債收益率接近2016年美國大選之前的水準，黃金ETF的持倉量升至六年多來的最高點。
分析師指出，從技術面來看，黃金也非常看漲，短期這種狀況還會繼續下去。只要市場避險情緒繼續，關於貿易問題和英國脫歐的不確定性繼續，黃金多頭就掌控市場。
分析師表示，市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期在升溫。該行認為，市場對美聯儲9月降息90個基點的預期重燃，這對黃金是利好的，因此還有進一步上漲的空間。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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