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美国数据即将出炉,奠定美元基调

关键词:美国数据

4月23日,美元指数在欧盘时段出现大涨,欧元和英镑纷纷跳水。同时美元迫使伊朗原油出口归零,地缘政治的不确定性打压了股市,对非美货币形成压制。本周将公布美国耐用品订单以及第一季度GDP数据。将极大影响美元市场。

美国白宫周一(4月22日)宣布此前给予部分国家和地区进口伊朗石油的制裁豁免在5月初到期后将不再延续,迫使伊朗原油出口为零,地缘政治不确定性打压股市,也对欧元和英镑等非美货币构成压制。

上周后期在欧元区公布了系列疲软的PMI后,欧元兑美元再度跌破1.13,国际原油期货价格持续上行,并为股市提供支撑,从而助力欧元兑美元企稳,未来三个月汇价料交投于1.13附近,从经济数据方面来看,下周之前不大可能出现大幅波动。

贸易紧张情绪继续令欧元区经济承压,但国内需求却受到财政宽松政策的提振而表现出韧性,因此薪资增长依然为服务业信心带来支撑,即使德国制造业信心遭受抑制。

随着核心消费者物价指数(CPI)的反弹,长期下行趋势的通胀表现也得到反转,这均暗示欧元区经济增长将会适度渐进式复苏,从而有望帮助欧元企稳。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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