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全球股市大跌,金价避险需求增加

关键词:股市大跌

3月25日,现货黄金略有上涨,避险需求不断增加,由于美国和欧洲股市出现大跌势头,亚洲股市受到波及,表示全球股市出现大跌。市场纷纷抛售,刺激黄金避险需求,金价不断上涨。

如今,美联储显然已经放弃在可预见的未来加息,当利率处于低位时,这对黄金和白银来说应该是个好兆头。但外汇市场正在回归基本面,美元指数交投于96.6附近,现货黄金在1320美元/盎司受阻,美元高位仍将是压制金价表现的重要力量。

尽管美股下跌给黄金提供了一些避险支撑,但美联储鸽派的利好出尽,美元指数还受到“通俄门”结果的利好,同时特朗普解除对朝鲜的制裁,也削弱黄金的避险买盘,金价在站稳1320前,后市面临重回跌势的风险。

澳大利亚、香港和中国内地股指周一大幅下挫,日本东证指数和衡量亚洲股市的一个指标势将创下今年以来的最大跌幅。此前美国股市在上周五遭遇11周以来表现最差的一天,因一段备受关注的美债收益率曲线出现2007年以来首次反转,同时欧洲数据重新点燃对全球经济增长的担忧。

据最新的CFTC数据,截至3月19日当周,对冲基金持有的黄金净多仓增加近1万手,增幅超过10%,这使得黄金净多仓数量回升至88396手,为三周以来最高水平。

由于美元走弱、美联储放鸽和英国脱欧仍具不确定性,黄金延续近期涨势。现货黄金实现三周连涨,再度努力冲击1320美元阻力位。今年迄今,黄金已经累计上涨近3%。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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