欧洲经济事件,避险需求被点燃
关键词:避险需求被点燃
3月22日,黄金出现上涨趋势,而法国,德国的经济数据也出现了一定的收缩,欧元短线出现暴跌。美元则出现了大幅度的上涨,黄金短线受到一定的承压。但美债收益率降至最低水准,黄金避险需求不断上升。
前一交易日黄金冲高回落,周五现货黄金价格表现稳定,维持在1312美元/盎司左右。如果能够维持在目前水平,那么黄金市场能够收获连续三周上涨。法法国公布了三大PMI数据,均跌破50荣枯线,德国制造业PMI也呈现收缩,显示欧元区正在陷入困境,受此影响,欧元短线暴跌百点,而美元则大幅走高至96.8附近,黄金短线承压。
本周美联储利率决议维持利率不变,并且给出了相当鸽派的声明,黄金市场受到大幅提振。目前1300的支撑愈加明显,黄金美元的相关性正在加强。
金价走高是一把双刃剑。尽管预计投资者对黄金ETF的需求将回升,但实物需求可能由于价格上涨而放缓。金价走向更高水平仍然不是一件容易的事情。尽管对金价走强的乐观情绪正在上升,但他表示,股市可能是黄金市场面临的下一个障碍。
白银与黄金和铜的高度相关性可能意味着,这种贵金属已准备好爆发。黄金和铜都处于市场普遍关注的阻力位上方,如果历史能够提供指引的话,那么白银将走高。
白银表现仍然令人失望,难以突破15.50美元阻力位。金银比继续徘徊在上世纪90年代初以来的最高水平附近。金银比率的均值回归(mean-reversion)将使其回到65的水平,并补充称,如果金价保持在1300美元左右,那么白银价格可能会升至20美元。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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