软脱欧行情让英镑升温
关键词：软脱欧
英镑兑美元的行情依旧激烈波动，由于支持脱欧的人群可能降低对于首相特蕾莎的脱欧协议的离场，带动市场的软脱欧预期升温。虽然当前英镑多头占据了主导地位，若脱欧协商出现利空信息，空头将快速占据主导。
媒体报道称，前任内阁阁员、同时也是脱欧阵营的伊恩·史密斯(Iain Duncan Smith)及保守党议员迈克尔·法布里坎特(MichaelFabricant)与保守党脱欧派议员莫格(Jacob Rees-Mogg)的立场类似，要么支持特雷莎的脱欧协议，要么“无协议”脱欧。
周二在特雷莎承认没有足够的票数让自己不受欢迎的脱欧协议获得议会批准后，梅失去了对这一进程的控制权。本周初，英国下议院以329-302的表决结果剥夺了她对接下来进程的控制权。但她仍在争取本周晚些时候付诸投票。
英国政府提出了改变英国脱欧日期的二级立法，并告诫说如果国会议员不予以支持，将会出现混乱。她非常遗憾地得出结论，下议院仍然没有足够的支持将这一协议带回进行第三次有意义的投票。
特雷莎仍需获得更多来自工党的支持，从而使其脱欧协议成功闯关议会，指示性投票可能没有法律约束力，因此欧盟将作何反应尚不得而知。基本预期仍为英国将长期延迟脱欧，不过本周英国议会指示性投票为关键，届时将选出一个英国脱欧方案，将表决的选项包括第二次全民公投、与欧盟建立关税同盟和取消脱欧，目前仍不能排除特雷莎辞职或再次大选的可能。
愈加关注英国脱欧将如何结局，以及最终将耗时多久，目前的情况对于特雷莎而言是非常不利的，要求她下台的呼声正在增强。注意到英国脱欧将被拖至4月，但仍有不少分析师认为最终将会达成一个良好解决方案，不过一旦所有方案都失败的话，特雷莎仍可能以辞职的代价来换取通过她的脱欧方案，因此建议投资者们逢低买入英镑兑美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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