黄金破位转空 低位调整震荡
早间现货黄金在1281.4美元/盎司亚盘开盘后进行拉升，小幅冲高至1283.4美元/盎司高位受压，随后再次下探1281美元/盎低点回升，整体保持在1283-1281区间窄幅震荡走势。
美国纽约联储主席威廉姆斯讲话：美联储需要耐心、审慎和良好的判断力，预计美国2019年GDP增速为2-2.5%，2018年为3%，没有看到令人担忧的通胀压力迹象，如果环境改变将重新评估资产负债表政策，美联储在实现两个目标进展良好，美联储可能会在今年达到2%的通胀目标，如果经济不那么强劲，将会调整政策，就业市场强劲，与大规模就业一致，欧洲和亚洲导致全球经济增速预期不那么乐观，对美国经济保持乐观，也得悉市场的焦虑情绪，利率更加接近正常水平，若前景恶化，美联储将尽其所能帮助经济，政府关门和地缘政治不确定性带来逆风，高经济增速将一定程度保证更高利率水平，对政策观点的调整将取决于经济数据，政府停摆，地缘政治不确定性会引发逆风因素，很明显政府停摆正对经济产生影响，政府关门结束后将看到GDP增速反弹，经济面临的不确定性已经急剧上升，美联储依赖受到政府停摆影响的经济数据，减税将有可能提振投资和生产力，财政刺激的效果基本符合我们的预期，收益率曲线已经略有趋平，收益率曲线倒挂并不一定意味着经济衰退，整体来看银行业环境相当强劲，经济如美联储预期般良好，硬脱欧可能将带来波动性，英国脱欧对美国经济来说是个重要的问题，英国脱欧对全球经济而言也是个重要事件，美联储需要睁大眼睛并时刻准备采取行动。
2019年世界经济论坛年会在达沃斯召开：世界经济论坛年度会议将于1月22日在瑞士达沃斯举行。届时100多个国家的政府首脑和官员以及1000多家跨国公司的高管将在论坛中讨论“世界的状况如何改善”。
（为了大家有更好的体验，演播室正在进行设备升级，短期内暂以文字新闻为主，恢复时间待定，敬请留意）
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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