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美联储加息进入中后期 黄金白银高位调

美联储加息进入中后期 黄金白银高位调整

现货黄金市场2018年11月22日14点整收盘于1217.7美元/盎司,日内高点1227.6美元/盎司,低点为1224.7美元/盎司附近;现货白银震荡,报14.5美元/盎司。

美联储暂缓紧缩预期升温:据美联储资深人士的言论,美联储开始考虑暂停逐步紧缩货币政策的想法,并可能最早在明年春季结束加息周期。此前,达拉斯联储行长卡普兰、美联储副主席克拉里达都提到,美联储应该保持耐心,因为利率接近其估计的中性水平。偏鹰派官员,纽约联储主席威廉姆斯讲话也耐人寻味,他称美联储不预设货币政策路径。9月加息点阵图预期中值显示2019年有三次加息,2020还有一次,不过市场预期明年只有两次加息的概率升温,而何时终止货币正常化路径也可能在明年年中被讨论。

欧银10月纪要来袭:受美国感恩节假期影响,市场交投清淡。美元指数日内震荡微跌,现报96.64,跌幅0.08%。周三晚间美国经济数据表现不佳,凸显出市场对经济扩张持久性的担忧以及对美联储放缓升息的呼吁。欧洲央行将于晚间公布10月会议纪要,预计市场对欧洲央行10月货币政策会议纪要的反应比较冷淡,但是必须重点关注欧洲央行对经济增长前景的描述。围绕英国脱欧的情绪仍左右英镑走势,据报道,德国总理默克尔加大对英国政府施压,以促使英国通过此前达成的脱欧协议草案。

(为了大家有更好的体验,演播室正在进行设备升级,短期内暂以文字新闻为主,恢复时间待定,敬请留意)


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