王垣鑫：黄金奠基周线反弹
现货黄金在本周表现较前几周稍强，日线级别在触及1211美元/盎司附近后大幅度拉升，日内交投于1233美元/盎司一线，虽昨日金价延续反弹，macd指标收出金叉做出底背离形态，但目前此金叉处于初始阶段并未完全发散，有效性仍需关注。
而周线级别里面整体趋势并未发生改变，ma5仍是本波从1360美元/盎司开启下跌后的重要压力均线，也就是说本周1242美元/盎司附近为周内重要反压，后市在实体突破ma5之前整体趋势依旧是看空，而在ma5及ma10明显向下运行的情况底下，确认变盘至少需要三条k线，也就是至少需要三周的时间，因此若本周能通过日线级别的底背离形态走出良好反弹走势，亦至看作为后市周线级别的止跌反弹打基础，但按以往走势，在两周内仍看金价在周线ma10下方或以周线ma10附近为高点运行，第三周才能开始看破ma10，所以大级别上的止跌反弹可能还需要至少大半个月的时间。
而周内剩余时间我们需要关注两个东西，一个是今日的反弹力度，因为昨天和今天的ma5往上拐头很大程度上是因为，上周五和周六的大幅反弹，但在周一是回落的，也就是说一旦今天不能延续反弹走势收到1237美元/盎司或者以上位置的话，明天日线开线往前5条均线的均价将不会有所提高，换言之ma5的向上运行角度将变成走平甚至向下拐头，ma5将在明天失去支撑力度，成为空头发力下破的时间窗口。
第二个是上方1242-1245区间，此为周线ma5压力和1245-1211下跌波段的起跌点压力位，本周反弹延续最高点暂时看至此处，4h级别kdj持续高位难以在本周支撑金价大幅反弹，起跌点的回调也是大概率出现的情况，一旦回调出现，让金价再去上行的时间是不够的，因此周内1242-1245区间内甚至上方都是建议主要做空的位置，日线ma5只要仍持续向上运行，在ma5上方的支撑位都建议考虑多单为主。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.