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王垣鑫:黄金震荡行情或仍将维持数周

最近大家都可以发现,现货黄金整体走势基本上以震荡为主,特别是美联储的利率决议行情,跟以往的短时间大幅波动不同的是,本月在利率决议公布前,黄金维持了三周的低位震荡,待利率决议公布后,黄金仍在震荡区间内,不光是技术面就连基本面上,由于特朗普的反复无常,中美贸易局势反复发酵,其产生的市场避险情绪对黄金来说基本没有产生影响亦是相当的反常。

大田环球贵金属留意到有分析认为,随着全球贸易紧张局势加剧,黄金交易所交易基金的投资者已退出部分看涨头寸。颇为令人意外的是,在当前金融市场环境较为动荡的情况下,黄金并未受到受到市场青睐。鉴于当下市场面临的高度不确定性,投资者观望情绪明显加重,导致黄金交易量正接近2017年末以来的最低水平。有消息显示黄金ETF的流出量为4.5吨。表明投资者正在抛售黄金,以抵消其他资产类别的损失。对此,德国商业银行表示,继上周工业金属价格上涨推高白银价格后,白银价格和其他工业金属价格都在下跌。该银行补充称,目前,白银的表现或多或少再次逆转了黄金的表现,黄金/白银比率已回升至78以上。

大田环球分析师王垣鑫认为,近段时间黄金走势较为震荡,让许多投资者望而却步,纷纷保持观望态度等待行情明朗之后再介入,但无奈目前金价仍处于底部区间,在脱离底部区间之前,行情大部分情况都会以宽幅震荡为主,另外除了市场的观望情绪比较浓厚之外,黄金资金的流出问题亦是非常严重,适逢四年一次的世界杯,就更加重了黄金资金的流出问题,或许待世界杯赛程结束之后,投资者的目光才会转回黄金市场上,届时黄金或有希望恢复生机。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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