熊傲君：美元有所回升，金价震荡下行
2018.03.16黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价依旧围绕震荡为主，不过欧美盘有小幅下滑的走向，欧盘走弱突破亚盘低点后，美盘开盘即走弱，并随着两个利空数据的公布后，金价再次跌穿1320一线支撑，随后行情并没有过大延伸，保持在1315-1320区间震荡，不过今日早盘出现小幅下滑，延续美盘跌势，这是较弱表现，一旦欧盘继续走低，恐防加息前金价仍会进一步下跌预热。
消息面：昨日数据不算太多，主要是美国的进口物价指数以及初请失业金人数的公布，数据显示皆符合预期，都是偏利空的消息，不过金价在短期小幅下行后就没有过大波动，在美联储利率决议展开之前，市场保持较为平淡的反应，各项产品波动皆陷入震荡走势。晚间仍将公布美国的工业产出月率以及密歇根大学消费者信心指数。
今日展望：走势仍旧平淡，不过昨日确认了下破1320后，震荡区间又再次下移，目前走势仍然是震荡偏弱，再加上利空尚未出金，加息之前的金价预料仍是较弱，甚至可能还会有一波下行，现阶段建议先关注区间操作，重点看1310-1320区间，早盘最低跌至1314稍下位置，若欧盘跌破此处，金价晚间将进一步回调至1308-1310一线附近，反之，若欧盘涨破回1320上方，那么震荡将维持，届时区间关注1315-1325。
从现货黄金4小时图看：震荡依旧，方向仍不明朗，不过短期承压明显，可能空方仍是相对占优，现阶段短期均线组有所下压，MACD指标运行至0轴一线下方，意味着短期偏弱，总体震荡，长线在等待突破，所以操作上建议先关注1310-1320区间高抛低吸，昨天破位1320，所以带来一些下滑，所以我们可继续谨慎等待破位区间再作跟进。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单坚定持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息前若有回调依旧可以进场。短线关注1310-1320区间，欧盘强弱做日内节奏，或破位进行顺势跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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