熊傲君：隔夜探底回升，金价继续震荡
2018.03.13黄金策略
昨日回顾：昨日金价早间波动不大，保持在1320上方波动，不过随后欧盘却再度走弱，下破1320支撑，但由于美盘数据有限，市场较为平淡，金价无力续跌保持震荡走势，而后半夜多头再次发力重回1320上方，一度涨至1325附近，总体表现为探底回升走势。加上周五的非农夜，金价已经连续两日上演探底回升之势，但关键恐怕还是在于能否延续，否则仍是震荡行情，加上加息在即，市场可能也较为谨慎。早间金价受压于1325附近有所回落，预料亚盘仍旧保持在1320-1325区间，等候欧盘再次决定日内节奏。
消息面：昨日数据上较为稀少，市场反映较为平淡。上周美国劳动力市场保持强劲，就业人数增加大幅超过预期到达31万，尽管薪资水平及失业率没有到达预期，但表现依旧尚算靓丽，表明就业市场仍在稳步增长，暗示本年加息的节奏可能进一步加快。市场风险情绪在周一也发生了戏剧性的变化，虽然，此前美国总统特朗普已经在“贸易战”中作出了明显退让，令市场稍稍缓解了紧绷情绪，并且国会共和党人在迟迟找不到证据之后也放弃了对“通俄门”的进一步调查，朝鲜半岛问题则继续朝着柳暗花明的方向进展，但如此乐观情绪在日本和欧洲证据风波面前却只是昙花一现。
今日展望：昨日金价走势还是较为反复，这是震荡行情很典型的例子，欧盘走弱后美盘长时间不延续，无力破低，导致反升，但是上涨后目前能否延续还是要等欧盘，所以现阶段我们短期仍是要以区间震荡对待，大区间锁定1310-1340，小区间在1315-1330，日内貌似偏强，但证据不足，所以目前需等待欧盘能否延续确认，比如上方1325一线多次测试，若能一举击破，那么晚间有望到达1330上方附近，反之若再度跌穿1320，那么晚间亦将重回1315，且后市加息保持震荡偏弱。
从现货黄金4小时图看：金价目前陷入震荡走势，继上周利空下跌后触底反弹，昨晚再度走出筑底反弹，形态上需要突破1325才能形成双底结构，届时才能多头发力，现阶段均线组表现依旧纠结，MACD指标在0轴附近徘徊，表明具体方向仍不明朗，操作上宜保持1315-1325区间高抛低吸，等待破位再作跟进，预料加息前这种上下波动的走势会较为常见。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单坚定持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息前若有回调依旧可以进场。加息前预料还会有一次探低机会，想跟进的不要再错过了。短线继续关注1315-1325区间，欧盘强弱做日内节奏。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.