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林幽沃:黄金多头重拾主导权,1400大关势在必行?

2.19-2.23当周现货黄金实现探底回升行情,在周初徘徊着1340上方的情况下,接连两天的下跌令价格触碰1320关口附近的支撑后暂缓跌势,陷入窄幅震荡行情之中。但走势在周尾发生转向,由于迟迟未能跌破1320关口,多头捉紧机会向上进攻,但由于5日线压制的情况下依然未能实现周内V型反转,最终全周收跌。

林幽沃:黄金多头重拾主导权,1400大关势在必行?

回顾上周行情,可以发现以下几点:

1,周初属于小级别下跌,在触碰大级别支撑后一次性反弹。

2,支撑逐渐上移,区间低点不断抬高。

3,价格依然维持在1300上方震荡,并无大幅看空的空间。

在进入2018年后,低点一直维持在1305上方,而本次的回升点在1320附近,大幅度提高了底部区域的位置。此前一度曾担心过仅仅是空头的一次调整,而本次反弹关键压力在于1333-35区间,但在随后的周一已经突破,多头有望再次冲击1360关口。

关键在于,本次上行是真的要冲击1400大关口了吗?

林幽沃:黄金多头重拾主导权,1400大关势在必行?

技术面上来看,月线图下探Ma5回升促成均线多头排列的走势,在大周期内金价的方向依然偏多,这也是在遇到回调时积极让大家寻找低点做多的主要原因。

消息面上来看,近期市场较为关注3月上旬意大利大选与3月下旬的美联储议息会议。

①意大利大选暂时释放避险情绪较多,因民粹党派有掌权的可能性,从而令到欧洲政局动荡。

②2018年美联储预期加息3-4次,3月份的加息依然在市场预期中,属于空头势能释放。

总体来看,黄金未来局势比较明朗,但短期回落依然在所难免,投资者尽量避免仓位过大而造成过多的心理压力即可。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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