黄金短期下跌，行情预期需提防
金价下跌，尽管美元来回穿梭于平盘上下，但最终转涨，致金价承压。金价近期持续上涨主要归因于美元走弱。但据市场推测，比特币近期大跌，使得资金流出数字黄金市场，转而流入实体黄金市场，也是金价上涨的一大因素。
美元指数周四震荡较大，来回游走于平盘上下，最终于外盘发力并升至盘上。金价则相应快速创下日内新低。对此，有分析人士认为，金价未能延续近期的强势，可能与短期黄金需求下降有关。
分析师表示，大部分黄金交易都是以美元计价的，我们看到ETF持有量几乎没有变化。在避险需求方面，人们对黄金的看法几乎没有变化。由于亚洲缺乏实物需求，今年黄金价格的前景不佳，因此黄金的前景将会有所下降。
不过，金价将对于全球央行普遍收紧宽松货币政策这一不利因素的抵抗性正在加强，同时市场对黄金的估价将会扩大。考虑到市场对美联储四次加息和美元疲软的预期，2018年金价将达到1383美元/盎司。
同时，据统计显示，比特币金价大跌逾50%，且跌穿10000美元关口。但却使得黄金的吸引力有所上升。
分析师表示，在比特币近期大跌的同时，公司黄金货币的销量足足翻了五倍。此外，近期他接到了有大量的电话和邮件询问如何将数字货币转为实体黄金。
分析师还表示，实物黄金对比特币投资者有吸引力，因为这些资产有很多共同之处。 两者数量均有限，且容易交易。但黄金具有优势，因为客户永远不可能因失去密码而无法兑换黄金，且金价波动性更低，可持续增长，是真正可以把握的投资。
分析师表示。尽管美元仍是推动增长势头最显著的推动力，但我们不能忽视比特币在监管监管方面的崩溃，这加大了黄金风险溢价。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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