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金价再录新高 静待重磅非农

昨日国际现货黄金于1316.4美元/盎司开盘,最低下探至1305.7美元/盎司,后震荡回升,于1319.8美元/盎司收盘,今日凌晨再录新高1325.7美元/盎司,总体表现仍然强劲。但4小时技术形态上,顶背离如期形成,加之晚间非农良好预期,恐日内不宜再度追涨。

美国非农预期良好:北京时间周五21:30将公布美国12月季调后非农就业人口变动和失业率,周三包括摩根士丹利在内的22家大型投行发表了对此次数据的前瞻。预测显示,12月季调后非农就业人口增幅料介于17万-21万,失业率料介于4.0%-4.1%,平均时薪年率增幅料介于2.4%-2.6%。若12月非农对美国经济的描绘依然十分靓丽,那么美元有望获得提振,一改近期的颓势。

美国ADP数据远高于预期:美国就业数据处理公司ADP周四公布,12月美国私人雇主增加了25万个工作岗位,远高于经济学家的预期。另一份报告显示,上周美国申请失业救济人数增加了3000人,达到25万人,令人失望的是有6000人失业。美联储在周三发布的12月会议纪要中承认,尽管通胀持续低迷,但美国的就业市场和经济活动依然强劲。


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