王垣鑫：现货黄金今日调整or上攻？
昨日现货黄金在经过凌晨一波上涨之后于欧盘在前高1298美元/盎司一线承压回落，晚间进一步扩大回落幅度，但在日线收线前成功反弹，从日线上看并没有过分回落迹象，按照黄金的套路来讲，一周的时间里面，周初决定方向后周一到周四基本都是走同一个方向，但到周四晚间开始至本周收线会以调整走势为主，因此在昨日没有出现大幅度回落的前提底下，今日白天主要时间还是会以高位震荡的走势进行调整。
虽说目前15m开始到4h级别里面的均线簇都是呈多头排列，但目前日线级别kdj快线已经来到100轴上方，以技术面上来讲是不太看好出现大涨的情况，要涨也只会以震荡上行的形式去完成，加之1h级别kdj三线已经走至高位，在这种情况底下欧盘基本上难有作为，之前一直强调1300下方最重要观察的一个压力位是1298，昨天欧盘1297.X承压形成前高，今日再次达到其实不用多考虑太多，无论多逆趋势都好这里还是要空一次只要把止损放1302上方即可，目标看回1294-95，然后日内最深看回1289一线；日内回1289日线支撑附近可以尝试接多，目标1293、1296，止损1286下方。
一旦说突破1300怎么办？其实在今天如果出现这一种情况一般来讲是在美盘时段，CPI加零售销售数据一旦全线利多1300其实要破并不难，但如果不是大幅利多的话在1304-1306区间还可以再空一次，理由很简单，日线支撑1289，上1300乖离10美元以上，1304开始到1306为1300上方最近的主要压力区间，止损1308上方，目标1300、1296离场。
本周只要周线收在1290上方1300下方那么下周续涨的概率较大，一旦收1290下方，表明日线这波小反弹趋势的支撑被跌破往下留意ma10，收过了1300下周先看调整，不建议开线追多。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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