特朗普助攻,黄金多头即将来临
7月20日“超级马里奥”德拉基果然名不虚传,虽然不明说打算撤出宽松的事,但能使市场高度认为这将是不远的事,欧元黄金双双暴涨,美元重挫。值得注意的是,偏偏在黄金测试阻力位的时候,特朗普的“通俄门”又有猛料来助攻了。可以说,当前似乎没有什么可以阻碍黄金大反攻的了!
虽然欧银决议如预期按兵不动,德拉基声称不急于撤出宽松,认为所有迹象都表明欧元区的复苏步伐正在加强,范围也在扩大,通缩因素已被再通胀因素所取代。这种态度被外界解读为“明鸽暗鹰”,欧元暴涨创近两年新高,黄金也因为欧元的暴涨打压美元而受到提振。
据外媒报道,美国特别检察官Robert Mueller将扩大对特朗普“通俄门”的调查至其商业交易,也会顺便调查“第一女婿” 库什纳和前竞选经理Paul Manafort就其家族房地产业的融资实践。
知情人士表示,调查将主要集中在四个方面。包括:俄罗斯商人对特朗普大厦内公寓的购买、对曼哈顿SoHo特朗普酒店的融资、2013年莫斯科环球小姐大赛,以及特朗普向俄罗斯巨富出售佛罗里达州棕榈海滩豪宅等。
英国脱欧谈判方面,为期四天的英国脱欧谈判第二回合也无果而终了。欧盟首席谈判代表Michel Barnier称,谈判的分歧依然在于居住在欧盟的英国公民,以及居住在英国的欧盟公民的权利问题。在这个问题上双方达成了一些共识,但并没有在所有方面达成协议。而在关于公民的居住权如何得到保障以及如何维持爱尔兰的公共差旅区域问题上依然存在显著分歧。
虽然有“超级马里奥”+特朗普的助攻,外加英国脱欧谈判的“幺蛾子”,基本面上面似乎找不到能打压黄金的因素。那么在黄金夏季攻势之下,切勿过于大意,随时也警惕技术面上面的阻力,以及盘面有可能出现的获利回吐。可以说,当前黄金反弹无疑,但是上方一旦不能突破阻力位,也有可能再度回落。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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