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避险情绪消退 金价有所回落

现货黄金2017年4月18日14:30报1283.8美元/盎司,最高价为1285.4美元/盎司,开盘价为1283.6美元/盎司,上涨了0.2美元,早间整体波动不大。现货白银早间小幅回落,报18.39美元/盎司。

美联储年内加息三次难度加大:由于美联储暗示在年底之前可能开始缩减资产负债表,而通货膨胀和消费数据依然疲软,市场认为今年再加息两次的概率正在下降。而美国政府可能在4月底关闭,总统特朗普的税改和基建计划不明确,以及东北亚地缘政治风险上升等几个其他因素,也在降低加息的可能性。

日央行替换鹰派官员或加大宽松:日本政府提名铃木人司和片冈刚士等人加入日本央行委员会,这两名候选人将递补日本央行政策委员会从今年7月底开始空缺的两个席位。佐藤健裕和木内登英被公认为日本央行的两大“鹰派”人物。对日本央行行长黑田东彦的货币刺激政策持反对态度。


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