英镑加息预期不逊美元
关键词：英镑加息预期不逊美元
在充斥着诸多不确定性的金融市场，有一件事对投资者来说却十分明确：美国和英国将很快升息，而其他国家则还在放松货币政策。美联储主席耶伦和英国央行行长卡尼本周发出了迄今为止最强烈的暗示：正在准备升息。
美国、英国目前已然成为全球加息的先锋，因此美元贸易加权指数创下两个月最大周线涨幅，英镑贸易加权指数亦升至2008年3月以来最高位。
因此，普遍看法仍是欧元料走软，因为欧洲央行继续推进1万亿欧元购债计划；德意志银行和高盛等大型市场参与者甚至押注欧元兑美元将跌落平价。
与此同时，英镑近几个月的升势甚至更为引人注目，英镑贸易加权指数目前处于七年多以来最高点。
“英镑表现一直不错，并将继续保持下去，”瑞银集团下属旗舰私人银行的全球首席投资官Mark Haefele称。“将对英镑持仓为加码。”
周一欧市盘中，英镑/欧元小幅下跌，但英镑贸易加权汇率仍接近七年半高点，因投资者押注，英国央行将在2016年初升息。
今天没有重要经济数据公布，也没有决策者发表讲话，外汇交易员因而关注定于周三公布的英国央行最近一次货币政策委员会会议纪要。
英国央行行长卡尼上周表示，升息决定会在年底前后变得“更加清晰”，市场认为这暗示该行最早会在11月或12月升息，届时该行将发布季度通胀报告。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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