美国加息在望 黄金或承压回落
截止至今日北京时间14:30，国际现货黄金价格为1184.60元/盎司，最高价为1187.06美元，最低价为1183.60美元，下跌了1美元，跌幅为0.08%。
美经济增长加快 升息在望：据外媒周一公布的调查结果，尽管眼下美国通胀温和，但5月新增28万个就业岗位的消息，加上零售销售改善，9月升息这一预期逐步得到市场的普遍认同。多数受访经济学家对美联储即将在9月升息抱有信心。美国经济步伐的加快，无疑为美联储加息的可能加重砝码，市场偏向加息的情绪愈发浓厚，金价于千二关口下方启动的低位反弹或宣告结束。
马来、印度黄金需求暴跌：马来西亚是中东地区的主要黄金珠宝出口国，然而据外媒报道，由于马来西亚自今年4月开始，实施商品及服务税，导致此后月均黄金销量暴跌了30%至50%。且在林吉特汇价稳定的背景下，马来西亚当地的黄金需求可能难以快速恢复。另外，据全印度珠宝和首饰贸易委员会称，由于今年5月的婚礼旺季后，就没有明确的婚礼季，印度金饰需求可能下降22%至25%。马拉西亚和印度一直是黄金需求量较大的国家，现受到新的商品及服务税和婚礼淡季的影响，导致黄金需求量大跌，并短期内难以恢复，实物买盘需求缺失将令金价底部区间缩减，从而增大金价后市下行风险。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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