欧盟上调欧元区GDP增速预期，金价止跌小幅反弹
关键词：欧盟上调欧元GDP增速预期
周四(2月5日)欧市盘中，欧元兑美元(1.1466, -0.0009, -0.08%)短线迅速走高近80点，上破1.14关口至1.1455。欧盟委员会上调今明两年GDP增速预期，将2015年从1.1%上调至1.3%，2016年从1.7%上调至1.9%。
报告公布后，欧元兑美元短线拉升逾80点，上破1.14关口至1.1455，反弹近1%。欧盟上调经济增长预期，表明欧盟对欧元区未来的经济发展前景持乐观态度，因而提高欧洲GDP增速预期，欧元大幅反弹施压于金价，打消黄金部分避险情绪。
欧盟委员会将德国2015年GDP增速预期从1.1%上调至1.5%，将2016年从此前的1.8%上调至2.0%。将法国2015年GDP增速预期从0.7%上调至1%，2016年预期从1.5%上调至1.6%。将英国2015年GDP增速预期从2.7%下修至2.6%，2016年预期从2.5%下修至2.4%。
同时将欧元区2015年CPI预期从增长0.8%下调至下降0.1%，2016年为1.3%。2015年欧元区失业率预期调至11%，2015年失业率预期调至10.6%。
欧元兑美元短线拉升逾80点，上破1.14关口至1.1455，欧元兑瑞郎(1.0585, 0.0018, 0.17%)上涨1%，刷新日高1.0613；英镑兑美元(1.5327, 0.0002, 0.01%)刷新日高1.5253，澳元兑美元(0.7824, 0.0028, 0.36%)刷新日高0.7819。
华尔街日报称，本次欧盟经济学家普遍调高了对欧洲各国的经济发展预期，经济学家偏向于相信低油价以及欧元贬值今年会对欧洲经济带来刺激。
该报进一步指出，本次报告统计截止至1月23日，只综合当时希腊提前选举的混乱而调低希腊GDP预期，但并未涵盖对目前希腊寻求救助被拒的考量，报告难免有失全面。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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