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美国经济阴云不定 金价窄幅震荡

截止至本日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1226.65美元/盎司,最高价为1231.9美元,最低价为1226.2美元,下跌了3.95美元,跌幅为0.31%。

零售业数据差强人意:美国商务部周三公布,12月零售销售环比降0.9%,远不及预期,创两年半最大降幅;扣除汽车销售后,12月零售销售创2009年3月来最大降幅。因零售商品的需求下降,令市场对去年第四季消费者支出大幅提速的预期减弱。此外,美联储还公布了新的经济褐皮书,显示美国经济温和增长,但能源需求走软,而各地区的农业状况喜忧参半。美元周四早盘维持疲态,因隔夜零售数据意外大幅下滑,推动美国公债收益率大跌,提振避险黄金买盘上涨。

实物黄金需求旺季到来:由于春节的临近,中国市场上的黄金价格升水出现上涨,表明需求强劲。汇丰银行日前在报告中称,预计2015年全球黄金总需求将达到4127吨,超出2014年的3583吨。另外,上海黄金交易所的金价升水目前已上涨到了7美元/盎司左右。受亚洲实物金买盘支撑,中国市场的升水和交易量都有明显的增加,且在春节之前这一趋势都可能持续发酵。随着黄金实物需求的逐步回升,将为国际金价提供有力的买盘支撑,继而推高价格上涨。


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