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美国GDP预期乐观 黄金承压下跌

截止至本日北京时间15:00,国际现货黄金价格为1206.9美元/盎司,最高价为1215.6美元,最低价为1204.58美元,下跌了5.82美元,跌幅为0.5%。

OPEC秘书长表示石油不减产:石油输出国组织秘书长巴德里表示,不用对近期油价大跌感到慌张,他称油价偏低将遏止其他供应来源,并带动石油输出国在2020年之前扩大产出。在此同时,由于组织享有低的成本,中长期而言对原油的需求也将增加。这些评论进一步显示,石油输出国并没有减产以推动油价走高的计划,假设不出现供应中断的情况,未来油价的基准走势将持续动荡下跌,继而拖累金价下跌。

摩根大通对美GDP数据乐观:在美联储政策声明公布后,美元指数急升至三周高位,欧元则拉低至一周低位。随着美联储利率决议落下帷幕,眼下投资者正转而关注今晚美国三季度GDP数据,摩根大通指出,近期油价暴跌可能为美国GDP带来额外的助力,美GDP季率最多可提高2%。据市场预计,由于原油价格创下六年前全球金融危机以来的最大跌幅,对美国GDP带来的积极效应将在四季度和明年一季度达到最大,届时随着美联储提前加息的预期升温,以及油价下跌的影响,金价的走势将不容乐观。


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