纽元五年低位挣扎,澳元持稳
关键词:纽元五年低位挣扎,澳元持稳
纽元兑美元在隔夜创下五年新低后,周三(6月24日)难以昂首阔步,因投资人押注会有更多的降息。
纽元兑美元小升0.2%至0.6867美元,但仍接近2010年中以来的低位0.6815。
纽元兑全面走疲的欧元则表现较佳。欧元兑纽元跌至1.6284新西兰元,自本周稍早触及的16个月高位约1.6585回落。
受此帮助,纽元贸易加权汇率从周二所及的近三年低点提升。
纽元兑美元自5月以来已累计下跌了12%左右,有人预计,今年稍后该汇率将触及0.6500。
美联储理事鲍威尔周二(6月23日)表示,只要经济表现不出预期,他预计在9月和12月分别升息一次。
纽元本月受到重创,之前新西兰央行降息,并且不排除进一步行动,令一些人感到意外。
而澳元兑美元(0.7742, 0.0009, 0.12%)仍在本月迄今的波动区间0.7600-0.7850之内,在一定程度上反映了澳洲利率稳定的前景。该货币对最新报0.7734,日内持稳。自从4月触及六年低点0.7534之后,澳元就一直在横盘整理。澳元年内迄今累计下跌5.2%。
由于美国即将开始升息,澳元可能将进一步下跌,但可能不会大幅下挫。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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