美银美林下调明年油价预估
关键词：油价走势
美银美林周三(10月15日)在报告中称，下调2015年布伦特及美原油价格预估，并表示未来美原油可能跌至75美元/桶。
美银美林将2015年布伦特原油价格预估自108美元/桶下调至98美元/桶，并将2015年美原油(WTI)价格预估自96美元/桶下调至90美元/桶。
该行还指出，由于Pony Express输油管道为美国库欣地区的原油库存基地带来更多供应，预计未来美原油价格可能跌至75美元/桶。不过，随着需求增长加速以及OPEC可能减产等缘故，布伦特原油将在85美元/桶附近寻到支撑。美银美林强调，目前原油市场只是“温和供应过剩”。如果布伦特油价低于85美元/桶，沙特阿拉伯将陷入预算赤字。
美银美林预计OPEC可能在2015年将原油日产量削减50万桶，而非OPEC产油国的原油日产量可能增加150万桶。
际油市正在纷争和各种猜测中苦苦挣扎，全球需求也未能在这一关键时刻辅以一臂之力。这使伦敦原油价格在本周触及近四年低位。
当原油多头们巴望着石油输出国组织（欧佩克）减产，以应对疲软的需求预期，欧佩克却似乎更愿意采取另一种策略：坐视油价下跌。伊朗和沙特近期都展现出容忍低油价的态度。业内人士表示国际油价的走势更大程度上是政治博弈的结果，因此跌势或仍未结束。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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