华尔街预测周五非农数据向好
关键词：非农就业数据
九月就业报告将于北京时间本周五（10月3日）晚上8：30公布，市场对九月非农增加人数共识在20万左右，失业率保持6.1%不变。
美银美林则预计，9月非农就业人数将增长23.5万人，前值应该也会上修。8月非农令人失望，仅增加14.2万，大幅低于近期增长的趋势。8月非农数据也将上修3万左右。
“包括对上月数据的修正，我们对9月非农的预期，应该使3个月均线保持在20万水平。”
分项数据来看，我们认为政府就业将增加1万，私营部门将扩张22.5万。我们认为制造业就业将大幅增加，因为调查数据显示经济健康增长。零售业岗位在8月下降后会有稳固的增加。房屋建筑业稳健持续的增长也将支持这个行业雇佣人数的增加。
我们预计9月失业率保持在6.1%水平。8月劳动参与率有所下降，家庭参与率数据疲软。小时工资月均增长有望继续保持在0.2%，将推升年率上涨2.2%。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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