中国黄金珠宝商受金价低迷影响
关键词:实物黄金
在近期的低迷金价中,实物需求疲软是一大让人担忧的因素。数据显示,据香港统计局周四(9月25日)发布的最新数据显示,今年8月中国内地从香港进口的黄金净规模跌至三年多来最低水平。
黄金需求的疲软自然影响到了中国的珠宝商。数据显示,周生生今年上半年收入同比下降34%,同样的状况也出现在周大福和六福珠宝上。不过有迹象显示,中国的金饰需求开始有了一些起色,中国国家统计局数据显示,8月零售黄金、白银和珠宝上升了7.3%,不过今年至今仍然同比下降了4.6%,这也是唯一一个同比下跌了的零售数据。
临近年末,各个节日即将到来,中国和印度这两大黄金消费国的实物需求预计将开始增长,但买家们可能还在等待金价的下跌。
总体而言,亚洲的黄金需求比较疲软,中国和印度的黄金进口水平都偏低。印度仍受黄金进口限制影响,而中国则因为此前的大量买入有足够的供应。
第四季度通常是实物黄金需求最旺盛的季度,各个节日中金饰会被大量购买
CPM集团的研究主管称,尽管节日季接近,但印度不到10月底以及中国不到2月初,真正的大量的急迫的购买需求不会出现。
“我认为市场在等待,自从7月起价格就处在下行中,而9月更是有大幅下跌,我认为投资者和其他人都在等待价格稳定。”他认为买家们在等待金价测试1180美元/盎司的低点。当金价在1200美元/盎司左右的时候,黄金交易商们称,出现了一些实物买家,但消费者并没有成群结队的回来。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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