伊拉克局面继续恶化 现货黄金持续上涨
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
周一亚市盘中，国际现货黄金在高开高走之后，继续持稳于1280上方。由于伊拉克局势持续紧张，恐怖分子已经开始进攻首都巴格达，而美国方面则表示正准备一系列的军事行动，包括空袭。受此消息影响，黄金和原油价格均出现了大幅上涨。
【基本面分析】
作为欧佩克第二大石油出口国，伊拉克目前日均原油产量为300万桶至350万桶。若这一产量突然消失，将给市场带来巨大缺口。如果反政府武装进一步向南方进攻，南部石油产区受到影响，油价可能进一步上涨。近日，伊拉克反政府武装不断推进攻势，政府军作战和安全防务能力被推上舆论风口浪尖，奥巴马政府也在国内面临巨大压力。美国2003年出兵伊拉克以来，数千美国军人在伊拉克战场死伤，美方甚至耗费200亿美元助力伊拉克建立安全部队。而今，美国撤军两年半，反政府武装攻势迅猛，给该地区的再平衡带来了挑战。
市场担忧因此增加，黄金价格也因此徘徊在两周来的高位，迎来今年4月以来首次两周连涨，而类似的地缘政治危机而导致的黄金价格暴涨可以说是市场的意料之内。此前，由于受俄乌紧张局势的刺激，黄金价格曾多日连涨，甚至一度站上1392美元的高位。若短期内伊拉克的局势持续恶化，黄金很可能会突破1300整数关口。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，伦敦金行情价格已经开始逼近前期的压力位置，尤其是1287上方的60日均线，压力十分巨大。加上技术指标超买情况较为严重，尤其是KDJ,RSI等指标已经进入了超买区间当中，虽然尚未出现较为明确的卖出信号，但是黄金在连续上涨之后，技术性调整的需求较为强烈，因此短期内黄金或许会有回调需求。建议炒黄金的投资者暂时观望。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1280 止盈1287 止损1274
做空：开仓1288 止盈1282 止损1295
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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