美国就业数据出炉 现货黄金静待指引
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲时段，国际现货黄金继续维持在1260上方震荡整理，由于昨日世界银行发表报告，报告显示世界银行将下调全球经济的增长预测，使市场的风险偏好有所下降，而部分避险资金流入黄金当中，造成近期黄金走势较为强势。
【基本面分析】
由于本周的消息面相当清淡，而今天公布的美国初请失业金数据将是本周最为重要的经济数据。虽然2014年一季度公布的非农数据一直不佳，但本月公布的5月份及6月份公布的非农数据连续保持20万人数上方，已经显示出数据正在往非常好的一面发展。所以，市场预期今晚公布的初请失业金人数预期值31万人，仍然继续保持年内低位，虽然数据也有存在着各种可能性，但总体数值不会太偏离。
而另一方面，基于全球经济情况未明，近期各国央行也加大了购金力度，业内人士表示称，全球央行仍然是黄金的净买家，而中国仍然是全球最大黄金消费国，同时一旦进口关税下调，印度的黄金需求就将出现反弹，这可能会发生在9月或10月。黄金市场变得越来越依赖消费需求，而不是投资需求，黄金价格在未来5年有望走高。
【技术分析】
由国际现货黄金日K线图上看，昨日黄金收出小阳十字星后，布林线的喇叭口有收窄迹象，而由昨晚的黄金走势我们也可以留意到，黄金近期的压力位置位于1265-1267一线的布林线上轨位置，而下方的5日均线和10日均线形成金叉后，在1250上方形成较为强大的支撑，因此黄金在短期内仍需要震荡蓄势，以期取得方向性的突破。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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