欧洲迈入负利率时代 黄金现货有望受益
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
亚洲时段早盘，现货黄金持稳于1250美元上方。国际现货黄金周四一度大涨近1%，创下近三周以来的最大单日升幅，由于昨晚欧洲再度释放宽松预期，市场预期全球有可能再度进入货币宽松潮当中，因此黄金对此也有所受益。
【基本面分析】
欧洲央行6月5日下午宣布，将欧元区主导利率下调10个基点至0.15%的历史新低，同时将隔夜存款利率降至负0.1%，将隔夜贷款利率从原先的0.75%降至0.4%。欧洲央行是目前世界上第一家实行负利率政策的主要央行，意味着欧元区将因而进入负利率时代。
欧洲央行这次降低利率早在市场预料之中。金融分析人士认为，欧洲央行这次小幅降息，主要是为了应对欧元区通货紧缩风险。去年11月，欧元区通胀率持续下滑曾导致欧洲央行意外降息，当时欧元区的通胀率为0.9%。今年3月，欧元区通胀率继续下滑至0.5%，创2009年11月以来最低。4月受食品能源价格影响，欧元区通胀率回升到0.7%。然而到了5月，欧元区通胀率再度下滑至0.5%，显示通货紧缩风险进一步增加。欧元区通缩风险加大，促使欧洲央行采取降息行动。此外，欧洲央行实行负利率政策，就是希望促使商业银行增加对企业的放贷，以促进经济增长和增加就业机会。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在近期出现的回稳上涨情况下，触发了空头回补，金价现在已经突破1250阻力位置，并在早盘持续测试1255附近压力。而由技术指标上看，MACD的绿柱量能持续缩短，预示着黄金多头力量有所活跃，同时，KDJ三线持续回升，有利于黄金上行。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1251 止损1244 止盈1259
做空：开仓1259 止损1265 止盈1250
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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