今年中印黄金需求分别1100和1000吨
关键字：中印黄金需求
世界黄金协会(WGC)投资研究主管Juan Carlos Artigas近日接受采访，分析了WGC的黄金趋势报告。
对于2014年第一季度金币和金条需求下降39%的数据，Artigas认为，这有2013年需求极高的原因。“和去年这样高水平的需求比，总是会有下跌的。”
去年由于金价大跌，很多投资者趁低价买入金币和金条。“很多会在别的时候被买入的金币和金条最终被集中在当时买入。”
Artigas还认为，今年中国的黄金需求会在1000到1100吨之间。尽管不如去年的1200吨，但仍然是非常大的需求。
而对于另一个黄金消费大国，Artigas认为：“我们确实预计印度的需求会在进口限制被放松后有所恢复，今年可能的消费量在900到1000吨之间。”他认为印度新政府会意识到黄金市场的重要性。
而对于各个央行在第一季度持续买入黄金，Artigas说：“各个央行都在定时，都在做政策决定。他们的决定是不会单单基于价格的，而是基于如何看待外汇储备和储备多样化的需求。”
Artigas认为，各个央行连续13个季度成为黄金净买家是很好的显现，不过这和它们的政策相关，对价格的敏感性会降低。他预计央行净买入黄金的趋势会继续。
对于第二季度，Artigas认为投资者们不应当再继续只关注西方的措施和对金价的影响。“我们认为金价不只是美国或者欧洲的投资，是更国际化的。”
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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