欧货币或再度宽松 黄金现货弱势震荡
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
欧洲盘前，国际现货黄金延续早盘反弹走势，出现了小幅度走强迹象，但是反弹力度十分薄弱，短期内的连续下跌，说明近期黄金走势疲弱仍然难以改变。在近期大跌之后，黄金虽然会出现小幅反弹，但是下跌趋势难以改变，因此短期内黄金主要以做空为主基调。
【基本面分析】
近期美国经济稳步复苏，数据持续造好，但是反观欧元区的经济状况，大有江河日下的境况。或许美国人民应该感激前美联储主席伯南克印“钞票”的果断，的确，在这时代有钞票的才是大爷，所以欧洲央行主席德拉基也开始有样学样，学习伯南克“印钞票”。言归正传，此前欧洲央行曾强烈暗示，货币政策将会以多种方式放宽。欧洲央行定于周四公布利率决定。近日一项调查显示，欧洲央行将下调指标利率，并将存款利率降至零之下，从而阻止欧元走强及通胀率继续下滑。
而根据最新数据显示，欧元区近期的经济复苏状况不太理想，欧元区5月制造业采购经理人指数下滑至六个月低点52.2，因德国的强劲数据未能盖过法国行业活动萎缩的影响，初值为52.5，也低于4月终值53.4，创下半年以来的新低，而欧元区的通胀水平却仅有0.7%，远远低于央行设定的2%水平，而且由于欧元区总体需求下滑，导致欧元区有出现通缩的迹象。因此，周四欧洲央行的利率决议被市场普遍预期将会有再度放松货币政策的可能性。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，根据我们对金价走势分析所得，黄金在选择向下突破之后，近期出现了多条连续阴线，而尚未有止跌企稳的迹象，说明本次下跌除了有技术性的原因之外，趋势性的下跌也是其中一个重要的原因。虽然黄金日内有反弹迹象，但由反弹的力度上看，今天的反弹仅是技术上的超跌反弹，而不是黄金触底的信号。因此短期内炒黄金的时候仍然以做空为主，弱势反弹时候可以暂时出局观望，而不要胡乱博取反弹。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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