乌俄再起争端 现货黄金尚在观望
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
昨晚纽约时段，黄金因美国经济数据喜忧参半，黄金一度反弹至1257.30后再度回落至1252附近。而今早黄金目前交投于1254美元/盎司附近，在经历过近期的大跌之后，黄金也出现了一定的企稳迹象，预计黄金仍然以震荡盘整为主，再度出现大跌的可能性并不大。
【基本面分析】
由于俄乌双方在天然气欠账偿付问题上依旧争执不下、未达妥协，俄罗斯最早在48小时之后的6月1日切断输乌天然气的可能性正在加大。而欧盟有40%的进口天然气来自俄罗斯且途径乌克兰，可能被“殃及池鱼”。而天然气对欧盟来说利益攸关。欧盟作为调停方已先后撮合了两轮俄乌谈判，但至今没有彻底解除警报。第二轮谈判发生在5月26日，欧盟希望俄乌能在30日本周五重回谈判桌。
欧盟作为中间调停方，一直力图避免俄罗斯在本月底切断经乌克兰的输欧天然气供应，这也是三方会谈最紧迫的目的。为此，欧盟及其成员国不断表现缓和欧俄关系的举动。而俄罗斯同时也要求乌克兰方面停止对东部进行炮击，而乌克兰对此事件貌似不作回应，这将会对乌克兰，俄罗斯和欧盟三方会谈蒙上阴影。而黄金虽然尚未因为避险需求而得到上涨动力，但是黄金价格的跌势也开始有所减弱。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在突破下降三角形区间整理之后，黄金的下行趋势已经正式成型，布林线喇叭口正式开始发散，短期内黄金的反弹压力位则位于布林线下轨的1263位置。由于黄金短期内的大幅度下跌，均线系统全部呈现空头排列状况。短期内黄金的支撑位置在1250一线，由于黄金近日来已经累积了较大幅度的下跌，短期内再度暴跌的可能性不大，我们大田金业建议投资者做空时应该以短线小单为主。
【操作建议】
做多：开仓1251 止盈1258 止损1238
做空：开仓1263 止盈1252 止损1270
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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