耶稣纪念日休市 黄金现货低位震荡
关键字：黄金现货走势
【行情回顾】
周四欧市早盘，伦敦金走势较为疲软，盘中微跌失守千三关口，最低跌至1296.64美元/盎司，由于1300关口的心理意义较大，无论多空都相当重视这一关口的得失，因此短期投资者仍需关注1300关口的支撑状况。而现货白银也受到黄金下跌拖累出现小幅下跌。虽然欧美市场明天开始休市，但是黄金受技术面的因素影响将会越来越大，跌破千三后则关注1280美元/盎司一线支撑。
【基本面分析】
今日的市场表现有些波澜不惊，可能是受到即将到来的长周末影响，尽管今日风险事件密集，不过汇市的走势依然以震荡波动为主，并没有出现令人“眼前一亮”的走势。随後美联储褐皮书同样未能引起大幅度的波动，褐皮书表示随着天气影响结束，美国大部分地区经济活动有所增强，与近期的市场预期一致。由于周五为耶稣纪念日，全球市场休市，今日为本周最后一个交易日。
就交易而言，在国际假期来临之际，市场多半会在调整假期头寸，整体会维持在1300美元/盎司附近低位整理，建议投资者在今日维持观望，或者减轻之前的头寸，以防假期后，市场发生变故。
路透发表的黄金年监指，预期今年黄金均价为每盎司1,225美元，较去年的每盎司1,411.23美元低13%；并预期金价在今年中见底反弹，但有机会在2015年初逐渐回落。报告指，2013年黄金零售投资额增长31%，首饰则增长18%。期内，西方投资者纷纷退出黄金市场，东方投资者则急於入市；由於印度黄金需求因去年的监管改变而受阻，令中国首次超越印度成为最大黄金消费国。
【技术分析】
根据最新的金价走势分析，黄金在欧洲盘前受到乌克兰消息影响出现了一波跳水，导致黄金最终失守1300关口，刷新日内新低1296美元，之后略有反弹，但直到目前为止尚未能修复1300关口。虽然由均线系统上看，均线尚未呈现空头排列，但是自1277以来的上升趋势已经被破坏，加上日线KDJ已经出现死叉迹象，预计短期内黄金仍将承压向下。建议投资者本日以适当做空为主，日内压力线主要集中在1310一线，投资者可在1296附近建立空单，1305止损，1285止盈。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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