黄金现货持续走强 关注美联储讲话
关键字:黄金现货走势
基本面:乌克兰东部地区局势紧张,因武装分子夺取两个警察局,并袭击了另外三个警察局,使得乌克兰政府指责俄罗斯从外部扰乱乌克兰局势稳定。其中,乌克兰东部顿涅茨克警察局长上周六宣布辞职,这意味着当地的公共部门向亲俄分子屈服。而联合国安理会会议依然是俄罗斯与西方国家舌战嘴炮的舞台,当然,这种做法根本就是于事无补,反而将乌克兰的问题变得越来越难解决。而最新消息显示,乌克兰所有安全部队都已投入其中
虽然短期内黄金受到乌克兰事件持续恶化影响,导致避险买盘持续流入黄金,黄金现货价格由此得到提振。但是投资者仍然需要关注美联储的最新动向,由于本周是美联储成员的密集登台事件,市场普遍在寻找美联储接下来的货币政策动向。
根据日程安排,美联储主席将分别在当地时间周二和周三(北京时间周四)地连续发表两场演说。美联储主席耶伦将在亚特兰大联储主办的2014年金融市场会议上开幕致辞,而下周四的00:25,耶伦还将在纽约经济俱乐部上发表题为《货币政策和经济复苏》的讲话。由于上月耶伦的首秀失误,导致市场发生误读,黄金市场出现了较大幅度的波动,而本周耶伦的连续讲话,将会为市场带来何种指引?投资者也应该重点关注。
技术分析:由黄金日K线上看,现货黄金连续5连阳的持续碎步上攻已经彻底把前期自1392的下跌趋势扭转,同时在1278位置反弹以来,黄金已经重新建立新的上升通道。我们大田贵金属认为目前均线呈多头排列,由于年线的顺利修复,黄金在短期内的短暂回调幅度也将相当有限。由技术指标上看,MACD在金叉出现之后,红柱量能有持续放大迹象。而KDJ虽然在短期内有略微超卖现象,但总体上看位置良好,投资者可以在黄金短暂回调过后适当加仓做多。
黄金操作建议:
做多:开仓1332 止盈位置1340 止损位置1325
若金价回调 则可在1315开仓 止盈位置1328 止损位置1305
做空:开仓 1328一线 止盈位置1316 止损位置1335
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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