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现货黄金低位回稳 静待数据指引

关键字:现货黄金价位

【基本面】

现货黄金价格亚市尾盘微涨,但仍位于七周低位附近,被市场称为“小非农”美国3月ADP就业数据即将于北京时间晚间20:15公布,预计将对本周五非农数据起到预示的作用,市场预期就业人数预期增加19.5万人,增幅远高于上月的13.9万人。该数据一向被视为非农数据的“风向标”,尽管最近几个月该数据未能起到良好的前瞻作用,但考虑到天气因素正逐渐消散,良好的ADP数据将令投资者对周五非农报告有更加美好的憧憬。

另外,智利地震已经出现死亡人数,南美多国发布海啸预警,当局下令沿海地区紧急疏散。目前,美国地质勘探局已将先前的8.0级震级上调为8.2级,智利官方公布的震级为8.3级。据悉,震源深度10公里。海啸已到达智利北部。智利总统米歇尔·巴切莱特宣布,阿里卡及塔拉帕卡等地区处于紧急状态。据最新消息表示,当地11家沿海医院的人员已被疏散。黄金也因避险买盘而受到小幅提振。

【技术分析】

根据我们大田金业的最新黄金投资分析,由于昨晚美国公布的经济数据延续上升态势,虽然略低于市场预期,但是随着冬季的结束,美国的经济复苏势头将会更加强劲。而由现货黄金的技术走势上看,日K线图显示,黄金仍旧处于下降通道当中,暂时还没看到触底的迹象,同时均线空头排列问题依然存在,金价短期内的压力位置处于5日均线的1285一线位置。虽然MACD绿柱量能有所缩小,KDJ有低位金叉的出现苗头,而今早的智利地震也让日内的黄金走势变得稍有底气,建议投资者在今晚ADP数据出炉之前维持观望,待现货黄金趋势正式确立之后再决定做单方向。

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