摩根士丹利：金价涨势难续 中期或下滑
关键字：金价下跌
2月24日，摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)在报告中指出，尽管近期金价涨势明显，但不排除未来某个阶段可能陷入“窘境”。该行认为短期内金价的涨势难以维持，中期可能面临下滑，但长期存在一定的上行风险。
摩根士丹利在报告中列出了近期金价上扬的几个原因：
1)投资者对全球经济前景的担忧
2)低价引发的强劲实物金需求
3)“姗姗来迟”的技术性反弹
4)部分投资者转而看多，并谨慎入市
该投行强调，“近几周金价的上扬可能只是短期的，我们不认为金价能在当前水平企稳。随着美联储维持当前的货币政策风向(继续缩减QE)，美元、美债以及美国实际利率也将逐步走高，对金价造成更大的下行压力。”
不过，摩根士丹利补充道，“这样的看空预测在未来1-2年内也存在一定的风险，其中包括中国及发达市场经济体的“硬着陆”、全球黄金ETP持仓逐步企稳以及中国和印度强势的实物金需求。”
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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