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黄金ETF减持 分析师看空黄金现货价格

关键字:黄金ETF、黄金现货价格

【基本面】

日内公布的美国2月Markit制造业采购经理人指数初值56.7,高于市场预期53.2,1月份为53.7。制造业数据较好也缓解了近期房屋数据与就业数据低迷对于市场的打压,市场信心在短暂低迷后逐渐上升。另外美国上周初请失业金人数33.6万,高于市场预期33.4万。另外美国1月咨商会领先指标月率0.3%,低于市场预期0.4%。近期美国经济数据受寒冷天气影响出现下滑,但是制造业数据较好显示美国经济复苏势头依然强劲,美股有望继续上涨刷新高。

日内中国公布的2月汇丰制造业采购经理人指数初值48.3,低于市场预期49.4。但是有分析认为中国经济数据可能受春节假期影响出现下滑,日内中国股市小幅下滑。新兴市场动荡不安的局面依然没有结束,但是美国受到的负面冲击可能有限,美国经济的良好基本面支撑股市继续走高的可能性较大。

 

【行情分析】

根据数据显示2013年是黄金投资及需求有重大分歧的一年,黄金ETF持有量减少了880.8吨,但金条和金币的需求却上涨到了历史最高水平的1654.1吨。这一趋势在去年第四季度持续,不过金条需求较前三季度有所放缓,反映金价依旧由投资需求主导。昨日中国制造业指数开差,拖累新兴市场股市再受压,避险意欲升温,金价靠稳,上落市格局为主,短线支持1305,阻力1326,上方250天日线阻力1343须留意,看淡金价不改。

 

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