市场成交清淡 金价宜做空
关键字：国际现货黄金价格、市场成交
【基本面回顾】
欧洲央行行长德拉基12月28日接受德国《明镜》杂志采访时称未发现进一步下调欧元区主要利率的迫切需要，也没有任何通缩迹象。日内财经日历信息量稀薄，亚洲时段缺乏值得关注的经济数据，可关注欧洲时段出炉的美国11月成屋签约销售指数。鉴于德拉基言论打压了市场对欧洲央行很快降息的预期，故欧元可望回调。
截止至北京时间15:48，国际现货黄金价格低至日内低点1202.71美元/盎司，因消息面一度平静，市场成交继续清淡。
【基本面分析】
日经指数周一收盘上涨0.69%，报16291.31点，收於2007年11月2日以来最高水平。今年以来日经指数累计涨幅高达56.2%，，是自从1972年以来表现最好的一年，同时也是今年表现最好的亚洲股市。在今年日央行“超级宽松”政策的炮火下，日元大幅贬值，最近数个交易日中美元/日元以及一部分日元交叉盘屡屡刷新五年高点。有交易员表示，未来美元/日元的命运或将取决於日央行是否推出进一步的宽松政策。
美国10年期国债收益率上周五收於2.988%，不过周一早盘时再度突破3%心理关口，最高看到3.023%，现报3%。10年期国债收益率的走高，也表示市场预期随著美联储逐渐的缩减其资产购债规模，未来美国利率将缓慢上行。利率的缓慢上升将不会对经济造成太大的影响，美国长期国债收益率的走势在大多数时间都与美元的涨跌呈现出正相关的关系。
本日内投资者可关注23:30纽约时段公布的美国房屋销售数据
【行情建议】
日图或继续打开下行空间，形成较低的高点，进一步可能跌向日前最低1180美元/盎司，适宜逢高做空或短期观望为主，目标1180。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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