市场因假期交易平静 行内人士看涨黄金
关键字：黄金看涨
【行情回顾】
上周五欧盘开市后，受到获利盘出现及欧元兑美元汇价轻微走弱，打压金价开始有所回调到1210附近再窄幅整理，临近美盘开市前，受到公布的石油价格做多，加上美股从历史高位有所回落，资金转投黄金市场，令金价在美盘开市时从1210美元向上拉动到全日高位1218美元，其后因短线获利回吐，最后收市价为1213美元，全日波动为10美元。
【基本面分析】
本周，美国公布的经济数据普遍差于预期，其中11月个人收入月率上升0.2%，12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值为82.5，预期为82.6，数据拖累美元指数下跌。
由于圣诞节的缘故欧美市场交投清淡，表明来自亚洲地区的实物贵金属需求提振了黄金价格反弹，2013年金价下跌原因的主要动力是市场持续猜测美联储量化宽松政策退出的预期，美国经济复苏状态良好，美联储的量化宽松政策并没有带来通胀压力，若通胀压力显现，将为金价上涨提供契机。
美国债务问题将在2014年重燃战火，经历过2013年的关门，相信国会两党会尽量避免此事件再次发生，因此双方将会有所妥协，而上调债务上限对金价是中长期利好。
为应对即将到来的通胀，日本养老基金有望在2014年增加黄金持有量，全球第三大经济体日本的量化宽松政策给金价带来的推动有望在2014年逐渐体现。
【技术分析】
黄金现报1210.1美元每盎司，日跌2.8美元。日K线来看目前价格刚好短期上升趋势线附近得到支撑，关注短期趋势线对行情的支撑作用，同时关注价格对日线布林线中轨的靠拢，预测价格区间为1201-1226美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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