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Fed暂缓缩减QE 现货黄金行情或反弹

关键字:现货黄金行情

黄金价格一路走跌,今年已下挫逾25%,不过部份分析师表示,联储局本周若决定维持量化宽松(QE)规模不变,金价有望反弹,以近1,300美元的价格封关。

CNBC报导,GoldCore创办人兼常务董事Mark O`Byrne指出,如果FED延后缩减QE,超卖的金价应会反弹,再次测试1,300美元大关。路透社上周调查60多位经济学家,仅有12名受访者认为本周会开始缩减购债,32人皆预期要到明年3月才会逐步退场。

Morgan Gold首席策略师Edmund Moy表示,FED暂缓缩减QE,伦敦金价格可能出现反弹,但涨幅有限,因为QE仍会在近期内退场。策略师认为,QE按兵不动带来的金价回涨,仅为昙花一现,主因亚洲对实体黄金的需求低迷,投资人持续卖出交易所交易产品,低通膨也意味反弹行情将迅速找到卖家。瑞银(UBS)也警告,延后缩减QE或许会带动部分空头回补行情,但是力道不足以让金价保持在上行轨道。

晚上9点13分(GMT+8)为止,纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)2月黄金期货上涨1.4美元,成为每盎司1236.0美元。

罗杰斯11日晚间接受美国网络电台「New York Markets Live」专访时表示,全球最大黄金进口国印度已开始减少买金规模,这是金价走软的主因之一;他已为个人持有的一部份黄金进行避险,以防金价继续下跌。不过,罗杰斯认为,在央行不断印钞的压力下,黄金绝对是躲避混乱的最佳目标。只不过,目前并非买进黄金或白银的好时机,若一定要选,那么他会买跌幅已深的白银。

 

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