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标准银行:现货黄金价格缺实物需求支撑

关键字:现货黄金价格

近期南非标准银行在黄金分析报告中指出,过去几周来尽管金价持续低于1300美元,但亚洲的实物金需求依旧没有任何起色。当前金价已回落至6月及7月水平(约1220美元),然而实物金需求却并未得到提振。

该行表示,除了需求疲软外,近期金价波动与需求的联系也值得关注。数据显示,过去几个交易日以来,上海黄金交易所的黄金溢价一直徘徊在8-10美元/盎司,而在金价小幅上扬(15-20美元)后,溢价却迅速回落至6-7美元/盎司,表明在当前的价格水平下,金价略有上涨都会导致亚洲,特别是中国的实物金需求大幅回落。

该行分析师Walter de Wet称,“造成这样一种现象可能有两种原因,其一是中国的贵金属交易者已经变得相对谨慎,不愿意在较低的价格水平下继续追高。另一方面则可能是因为中国投资者已经购买了足够多的黄金。然而,这也暗示即便短期金价能够走高,但若没有实物黄金需求的支撑,未来下跌是一定的,因此逢高做空仍是当前的主流策略。”

 

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