CITI:金价继续下跌200美元非易事
关键字:金价下跌
花旗集团(Citi)周一在研究报告中指出,仅从技术面上来看,如果未来金价(跌破1180美元的6月中旬低点,则有望跌向1000美元/盎司区域。然而,该行表示若结合基本面综合评估,金价想在当前水平继续下跌200美元也非易事。
该行例举了以下利空基本面:
利空因素:
1.美国经济复苏步伐将快于欧洲,意味着美元有着潜在的上涨动能
2.黄金ETF持仓持仓仍在持续外流
3.在当前金价不断下跌的条件下,各大矿商成本高企,但产量并没有因此缩减
利好因素:
1.美国债务问题可能导致经济复苏陷入停滞,打压美元走软
2.美国财政和贸易的不平衡
3.全球,特别是亚洲的实物金买盘
4.技术面上,日图黄金即将形成双底部形态
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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