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印度第三季黄金供应短缺 走私猖獗

关键字:印度黄金

路透社12月4日报导,由于印度政府将黄金进口关税提高至10%,以及推出80/20黄金进口限制措施(进口黄金需有20%用于再出口)的影响,几乎所有的黄金都优先供应给出口商,导致印度国内珠宝商必须支付创新高的黄金溢价才能够取得黄金,而印度国内的黄金供应短缺也令黄金的走私更为猖獗。印度珠宝商JJ Gold House业主Harshad Ajmera表示,目前印度国内的黄金溢价仍维持在每盎司130美元的历史高位。

孟买黄金协会发言人Harmesh Arora上月表示,印度政府限制黄金进口的措施导致国内的黄金供应短缺,并使得印度国内金价较国际黄金市场价格有高出约每盎司100-130美元的溢价,相比去年此时的溢价不过只有2-3美元,这自然也会使得民众购买黄金的意愿大减。印度政府将经常帐赤字飙涨归咎于黄金进口大增,上个财年,黄金是仅次于石油的第二大进口商品,因此印度政府今年来积极推出各项措施希望抑制黄金的消费。

不过,印度国内的黄金市场供应短缺并不代表民众的消费减少,显而易见的就是黄金的走私大幅增加。在线黄金交易网站《BullionVault》12月4日报导,印度海关官员透露,今年以来的黄金走私大增七倍,已经将毒品走私远抛在后,而尽管今年以来抓获的黄金走私增加,官员认为这可能只占全部黄金走私数量的1%-2%而已。

世界黄金协会(World Gold Council)第三季黄金需求趋势报告则指出,印度第三季黄金需求年减32%至148.2公吨,但今年1-9月,印度黄金需求仍年增19%达到715.7公吨。报告并表示,印度限制黄金进口导致供给短缺并加剧走私,市场估计每季走私的黄金数量约达50公吨;如果加上这些数据,印度全年的黄金需求仍可达1,000公吨之谱。

 

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