美股或大幅回落 黄金市场静待消息
关键字：黄金市场
【基本面】
日内股市开盘小幅上涨但是在华尔街巨头卡尔-伊坎称对股市非常谨慎，预计股市可能因低利率出现“大幅下跌”的评论后，股市逐渐回落。目前的美股有点高处不胜寒的味道，一旦由风吹草动就可能出现获利平仓，在今年股市大幅上涨，投资者赚的盆满钵满后选择落袋为安。日内纽约联储主席杜德利称对于未来两年美国经济走出衰退越来越有信心，预计未来两年美国经济增长率超过2%。并且称美联储的量化宽松货币政策可能会持续较长一段时间，但是市场对于杜德利的利多评论反应有限。
经济数据方面美国11月NAHB房价指数54，低于市场预期56，但是经济数据对于市场的影响有限。本周将陆续由美联储官员讲话，市场仍将密切关注美联储未来货币政策走向。
【行情分析】
昨日最高1289.3，最低1270，收盘1274.2，ETF抢仓量减少1.2吨，目前持仓量为864.51吨，ETF自去年开始不断减仓抛售，黄金ETF持仓跌至3年来的最低水平区域。上周开始，在欧洲央行意外降息和美国GDP与就业人数超预期增长的双重助力下，美元指数大幅上涨。而印度和中国需求疲软无疑令金价雪上加霜。双重打击之下，黄金现货跌破1300美元/盎司关口继续下行。金价在1268-1286区间上落，逢高造空。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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