美联储议息结果无惊喜 金价大幅回落
关键字:美联储议息会议、金价下跌
【基本面】
昨夜凌晨时段公布了美联储议息结果,一如市场预期,继续维持现行每月850亿美元的买债计划及利率维持在0-0.25%的超低利率不变。原因是最近的美国经济数据不佳,其部份原因亦归究于美国政府因财政预算及财政悬崖之争停止运作了整整16天。但是,美联储对未来的经济展望乐观,普遍看好,保留了在本年内减少买债的方案。令美元做好,金价下跌。
回到美联储的利率决议上,尽管美联储并未缩减购债规模,不过在对于美国经济的预期上,并未像市场预期的那么悲观,用有美联储喉舌之称的Hilsenrath的话说,美联储依然认为金融环境正在加强,缩减购债规模依然在12月利率决议的讨论范围以内。
美联储主席伯南克的任期将在明年1月结束,不知他能否在任期结束前启动缩减的闸门,超级宽松贯穿他的整个任期,但不知是否会以他的退出而结束。
今日焦点在美国的初请失业金人数。
【技术分析】
从日线图看,今日凌晨阶段,美联储公布了议息会议内容,议息结果一如市场预期,维持货币政策不变,而且美联储对于美国经济的评价基本上也只是老调重弹,并无太大惊喜,所以行情对于金价只是构成一个短暂的影响,最终在日线图当中,黄金是收益了一个十字线,那么这条十字线呢,从日线图来看是风平浪静的。
但是,从小时图来看,在昨天欧洲盘来看,黄金出现了一波稳步的上扬,但是只是一个右多的走势,只是一种回高反占的表现,1360之后,受到美联储议息会议的影响,出现了一波大幅的回落,从弧度力度看非常的强劲,形成了一个先扬后抑的走势,所以在日线图当中,虽然是形成了一根十字线的形态,但是能发现上引线和下引线部位都是比较长的,那么其实,今天凌晨的走势,充分地说明了一个道理,就是投资者尽量不要与风险事件来进行对赌,大家应该采取风险规避策略。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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