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今日黄金价格走势分析

关键字:今日黄金

【行情回顾】

昨晚万众期待的美联储议息结果公布,出乎预期的完全没有退市的举动,维持购债的原因是由于失业率仍然保持较高水平,加上分析指出伯南克任期届满之前,美联储不会有任何退市的动作,纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)黄金期货价格走势18日走势震荡剧烈,在联储会(FED)货币决策发布前,12月黄金期货收盘时下跌1.8美元或0.1%至每盎司1,307.6美元。然而在FED意外宣布量化宽松(QE)规模不变后,黄金期货闻讯立即弹升。12月期交割的黄金期货价高至1363美元/盎司,较隔夜美联储宣布政策决定前期货价1307.60美元/盎司,大幅飙升4.7%。伦敦金价格昨天出现了极大升幅,最低1292,最高升至1368附近。

【基本面分析】

美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)决定继续买债计划,加上美国即将面临债务上限谈判,将有利于进一步推高金价。周三FOMC宣布将不会开始缩减量化宽松。分析师认为,黄金的升幅取决于美国信贷评级风险,而信贷评级又取决于债务上限的谈判时间。随着美国债务不断攀升,黄金价格有望长期支撑。若美联储之后缩减买债规模,可能会导致实际债券利率上升,从而刺激黄金投资需求。

【技术分析】

黄金如期拉升,日线图报收一根巨阳线,但是早盘已经刷新高点。目前交投于前期跌破口1368一线,加上昨日突然暴涨,盘中并未出现明显调整,短线或有回调需求。金价由1310急升至1370,幅度达4%,后市暂时仍然会强劲,但短线升幅过大有超买的情况,暂时可以逢低买入。

预计本周内有望上涨至1391。

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